Bellwether · real money · Phase 1

Nitro

refreshed 2026-11-02 21:24 UTC · auto-refresh 60s
SYSTEM OFF
KILL hold active — no orders of any kind
decay rail: win 67% vs break-even 72% · reconcile: clean · entry window 3–6h · band 0.15–0.40
Real cash
$707.86
verified each cycle vs Kalshi
Open real / shadow
0 / 0
$0.00 real at risk
Floor cushion
−$1,592.14
halts at $2,300 (floor $2,000)
Real record
+$585.35
385 settled real trades

Last 7 days

DayEntriesClosesWinsP&L
no closes in the last 7 days

Open positions

TickerContractsCostKindOpened (UTC)
no open positions

Recent entries

Time (UTC)KindTickerReason
2026-10-12 22:12real entryKXAAAGASDMN-26OCT13-4.2350fade YES@0.31 buy NO@0.69 x65
2026-10-12 22:07real entryKXAAAGASDMO-26OCT13-3.9850fade YES@0.19 buy NO@0.81 x58
2026-10-12 15:04shadowKXSILVERD-26OCT1217-T60.50decay rail OFF (trailing win rate <= break-even) | fade YES@0.38 buy NO@0.62 x44 (amplifie
2026-10-11 23:03real entryKXAAAGASD-26OCT12-4.3550fade YES@0.33 buy NO@0.67 x70
2026-10-11 22:02real entryKXAAAGASDCT-26OCT12-4.4100fade YES@0.29 buy NO@0.71 x67
2026-10-10 22:00shadowKXAAAGASDCT-26OCT11-4.4150decay rail OFF (trailing win rate <= break-even) | fade YES@0.30 buy NO@0.70 x68
2026-10-10 22:00shadowKXAAAGASD-26OCT11-4.3600decay rail OFF (trailing win rate <= break-even) | fade YES@0.38 buy NO@0.62 x77 (amplifie
2026-10-10 05:01real entryKXTSAD-26OCT09-T2900000fade YES@0.38 buy NO@0.62 x76
2026-10-09 22:40real entryKXAAAGASDCO-26OCT10-4.2600fade YES@0.39 buy NO@0.61 x78
2026-10-09 22:01real entryKXAAAGASD-26OCT10-4.3700fade YES@0.19 buy NO@0.81 x61 (amplified: takers buying YES)